Market
Impact on Ukraine's military strategy post-attack by Mar 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased frequency of airstrikes on Russian targets • 25%
Focus on defensive operations within Ukraine • 25%
Increased reliance on drone warfare • 25%
No significant change in operations • 25%
Reports from the Ukrainian Armed Forces or credible international news agencies
Story
Ukraine's Air Force Strikes Kamensk-Shakhtinsky Facility Producing Solid Rocket Fuel on Dec. 26
Dec 26, 2024, 09:23 AM
On Dec. 26, Ukraine's Air Force conducted a precision strike on a military-industrial facility in Kamensk-Shakhtinsky, located in Russia's Rostov region. The facility was producing solid rocket fuel for ballistic missiles, which have been used by Russia to target critical and civilian infrastructure in Ukraine. The attack was confirmed by the Strategic Communications Directorate of the Armed Forces of Ukraine (StratCom) on the same day. This strike is part of Ukraine's broader campaign to disrupt Russia's military supply chain and hinder its ability to launch attacks on Ukrainian cities.
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Cyber defense measures • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Improved air defense systems • 25%
International military support • 25%
Increased military spending • 25%
Seeking diplomatic resolutions • 25%
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Strengthened alliances with Western countries • 25%
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Yes • 50%
Offensive operations • 25%
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No significant change • 25%
No significant change • 25%
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Military bases • 25%
Energy infrastructure • 25%
Diplomatic pressure • 25%
Significant damage • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Minimal damage • 25%
Moderate damage • 25%
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Other • 25%
Energy infrastructure • 25%
Military bases • 25%
Russia maintains current level of engagement • 25%
Russia escalates military actions • 25%
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Russia deescalates military actions • 25%
Energy infrastructure • 25%
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