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What will be the outcome of HTS's recent advances in Damascus by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
HTS retains control • 25%
Government forces regain control • 25%
Stalemate with no clear control • 25%
Other rebel groups take control • 25%
Reports from major news outlets such as Al Jazeera, BBC, and Reuters
Story
HTS Commander Claims 'The Future Is Ours' After Damascus Advance
Dec 8, 2024, 12:31 PM
Abu Mohammed al-Jolani, the commander of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), has declared that there is 'no room for retreat' and that his group is 'determined to continue the path started in 2011' in a statement read on Syrian state television. This statement follows a significant military advance by HTS forces on Damascus, marking a pivotal moment in the ongoing Syrian conflict. Al-Jolani emphasized that 'the future is ours,' signaling a strong resolve to achieve the goals of the revolution and not to stop until the rights of all Syrians are achieved. His message was broadcast across various media outlets, including Al Arabiya, Sky News Arabia, and Al Jazeera, underscoring the importance of this development in the Syrian civil war.
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Disbanded • 25%
No change • 25%
Decreased influence • 25%
Increased influence • 25%
HTS solidifies control • 25%
Prolonged stalemate • 25%
HTS loses control • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Syrian Army regains control • 25%
Ceasefire agreement reached • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
HTS gains significant territory • 25%
HTS gains significant territory • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Syrian regime regains control • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
