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How will Trump categorize pardons for January 6 defendants on Inauguration Day 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
All nonviolent participants • 25%
All participants • 25%
Selective pardons • 25%
No pardons • 25%
Official White House press release or executive order publication
Story
Trump to Sign Pardons for Nearly 1,600 January 6 Defendants on Inauguration Day
Jan 19, 2025, 04:38 PM
President-elect Donald Trump is set to sign a slate of pardons for individuals involved in the January 6, 2021, U.S. Capitol attack immediately after being sworn into office on Inauguration Day. The pardons, which have already been drafted, are expected to be enacted, marking a significant move that has sparked anticipation among potential recipients and concern among critics. Trump's pledge to review pardons within his first hour in office reflects his alignment with his base, as he has expressed sympathy for nonviolent participants and criticized lengthy sentences. The move could affect nearly 1,600 people charged in connection with the riot, with some defendants already seeking delays in court proceedings in anticipation of clemency.
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All non-violent participants pardoned • 25%
No public clarification given • 25%
Only peaceful protesters pardoned • 25%
Pardons based on case-by-case review • 25%
Includes some felonies • 25%
No pardons issued • 25%
Includes all categories • 25%
Nonviolent misdemeanors only • 25%
More than 10 • 25%
1-5 • 25%
None • 25%
6-10 • 25%
All detainees pardoned • 25%
Pardons delayed • 25%
No detainees pardoned • 25%
Some detainees pardoned • 25%
Some pardoned • 25%
All pardoned • 25%
None pardoned • 25%
Pardons delayed • 25%
Partial pardons for some • 25%
Other actions taken • 25%
Full pardons for all involved • 25%
No pardons issued • 25%
