Market
How will the Syrian leadership respond to Turkey's ISIS prison management offer by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Accepts Turkey's Offer • 25%
Rejects Turkey's Offer • 25%
Proposes Alternative Solution • 25%
No Official Response • 25%
Official announcements from the Syrian government or international news reports
Story
Turkey's Hakan Fidan Threatens Military Action Against Kurdish YPG in Northeastern Syria
Jan 7, 2025, 06:42 PM
Turkey's Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan has announced that Turkey is prepared to launch a military operation against the Kurdish YPG militia in northeastern Syria if the group fails to comply with Ankara's demands. Fidan stated that the new Syrian administration is expected to address the issue of Kurdish militants in the region, though it may take time. Additionally, Turkey is ready to take over the management of ISIS prisons and camps in northeastern Syria if the new Syrian leadership is unable to do so. Fidan emphasized that Turkey does not seek to dominate or influence Syria, but rather aims for a bilateral relationship based on mutual equality.
View original story
Similar markets
International coalition manages • 25%
No change in management • 25%
New Syrian leadership manages • 25%
Turkey assumes management • 25%
Accepted by another country • 25%
Accepted by US • 25%
Rejected by all • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Condemnation of actions • 25%
Other response • 25%
Cooperative response • 25%
Positive response with cooperation • 25%
Negative response • 25%
Neutral response • 25%
No official response • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
No action • 25%
Diplomatic support • 25%
Other • 25%
Welcoming and cooperative • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Cautious but accepting • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
YPG does not disband, military operation initiated • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Negotiations lead to a compromise • 25%
YPG disbands • 25%
Diplomatic pressure but no sanctions • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Support for Turkey's actions • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
No significant action taken • 25%
Syria takes action independently • 25%
Turkey intervenes militarily • 25%
Joint action by Syria and Turkey • 25%