Market
How will the international community react to Turkey's stance on HTS by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Broad support for Turkey's position • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Predominantly negative • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Statements from international bodies or major news outlets
Story
Turkey's Hakan Fidan Recognizes HTS as Legitimate Partner, Calls for EU to Remove Terrorist Designation After 10 Years
Dec 21, 2024, 09:59 AM
Turkey has officially recognized the Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) group as a legitimate partner and has called on the European Union to remove it from its list of terrorist organizations. Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan stated that HTS has distanced itself from radical elements such as Al-Qaeda and ISIS, asserting that the group has not engaged in any terrorist activities over the past decade, a claim supported by Western intelligence agencies. Fidan emphasized that HTS has been cooperative with Turkey in intelligence gathering related to groups linked to ISIS and Al-Qaeda. He also noted that communication and discussions with the Syrian government have already commenced, with international officials from the UN and EU involved in the process.
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Condemnation by NATO • 25%
Condemnation by EU • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
No official condemnation • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Mostly Supportive • 25%
Mixed Reactions • 25%
No Significant Reaction • 25%
Mostly Critical • 25%
Support for Turkey's actions • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Calls for restraint and diplomatic talks • 25%
Sanctions imposed on Turkey • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Condemnation by major countries • 25%
Support from some countries • 25%
Neutral stance by major powers • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Other response • 25%
Support for Turkey • 25%
General support • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Widespread condemnation • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Continued isolation • 25%
Other diplomatic response • 25%
Sanctions or military action • 25%
Recognition by major powers • 25%
No support • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Full support • 25%
Conditional support • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Increased diplomatic pressure • 25%
No significant response • 25%