Market
How will the conflict between Sudan's military and RSF resolve by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Military victory • 25%
RSF victory • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Reports from international organizations or credible news outlets
Story
U.S. Officials Confirm Sudan's Military Used Chemical Weapons at Least Twice Against RSF, Authorized by General al-Burhan
Jan 16, 2025, 04:55 PM
The United States has determined that Sudan's military has used chemical weapons at least twice against the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) during ongoing conflicts. This assessment, confirmed by four senior U.S. officials, indicates that the chemical weapons were deployed in recent battles as the military fights for control of the country. The specifics regarding the type of chemical weapons used remain unclear, as knowledge of the program is reportedly confined to a small group within the Sudanese military. U.S. officials noted that General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan authorized the use of these weapons. In response to these findings, sanctions against the Sudanese military chief are anticipated.
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Similar markets
Peace Agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Sudanese Army Victory • 25%
RSF Victory • 25%
RSF victory • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Sudanese army victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Conflict continues • 25%
Ceasefire without agreement • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Other • 25%
African Union • 25%
United Nations • 25%
United States • 25%
Military conflict • 25%
International sanctions • 25%
Humanitarian crisis • 25%
Political negotiations • 25%
Leadership change • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased military control • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
