How will the Azerbaijan-Russia dispute over Flight 8432 crash be resolved by December 31, 2025?
Bilateral agreement • 25%
International mediation • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Official statements from the Azerbaijani or Russian governments or mediated agreements reported by international news
Azerbaijan Airlines Flight 8432 Crashes in Kazakhstan, Killing 38; Azerbaijani Sources Blame Russian Missile
Dec 26, 2024, 01:33 PM
An Azerbaijan Airlines Flight 8432, en route from Baku to Grozny, crashed near Aktau, Kazakhstan, on Wednesday, December 25, resulting in the deaths of 38 of the 67 people on board. According to Azerbaijani government sources cited by Euronews and Reuters, as well as Ukrainian officials and aviation experts, a Russian surface-to-air missile fired from a Pantsir-S air defense system caused the crash. The missile was reportedly launched during a drone air operation over Grozny, Chechnya, and exploded near the Embraer E190 aircraft, damaging it. After being denied permission to make an emergency landing at Russian airports, the pilots were allegedly instructed to fly over the Caspian Sea, leading to the crash in Kazakhstan. Russian authorities have not confirmed these claims.
View original story
International mediation • 25%
Bilateral agreement • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Other • 25%
Comprehensive resolution with accountability • 25%
Unresolved with no accountability • 25%
Partial resolution with some accountability • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
Compensation agreement • 25%
Formal apology from Russia • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Full compensation agreed • 25%
Partial compensation agreed • 25%
No compensation agreed • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Identified individuals but no legal action • 25%
Identified individuals and legal action taken • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
No individuals identified • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Negative response • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Positive response • 25%
Neutral response • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other cause • 25%
Russian missile confirmed • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Pilot error • 25%