Market
How will Sudan's political landscape change due to U.S. sanctions by Dec 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Al-Burhan remains in power • 25%
Al-Burhan steps down • 25%
Military coup occurs • 25%
Peaceful transition of power • 25%
Reports from political analysts and major news agencies
Story
U.S. to Impose Financial Sanctions on Sudan's General Al-Burhan, Citing Three Sources
Jan 16, 2025, 12:30 PM
The United States is set to impose financial sanctions on Sudanese leader and army chief General Abdel Fattah Al-Burhan, according to Reuters, citing three sources with direct knowledge of the matter. The anticipated sanctions are in response to the Sudanese military's violations against civilians, targeting of infrastructure, blocking of humanitarian aid, and refusal to participate in peace talks. General Al-Burhan has preemptively responded to the sanctions, stating that he and the military are prepared to face them, welcoming the measures as a means to serve the country.
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Military takes control • 25%
Other significant political change • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
New coalition government formed • 25%
No response • 25%
Retaliatory measures • 25%
Other • 25%
Compliance with demands • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Retaliatory actions • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
U.S. only • 25%
No sanctions • 25%
U.S., EU, and others • 25%
U.S. and EU • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Maintain current sanctions • 25%
Increase sanctions • 25%
Ease sanctions • 25%
Other • 25%
Arab League • 25%
European Union • 25%
African Union • 25%
None • 25%
Leadership change • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Increased military control • 25%