How will New Glenn's launch affect Blue Origin's market share by end of 2025?
Significant increase (>10%) • 25%
Moderate increase (5-10%) • 25%
Minor increase (<5%) • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Market analysis reports from space industry analysts
Jeff Bezos's Blue Origin to Launch New Glenn Rocket from Cape Canaveral on Monday, Challenging SpaceX
Jan 13, 2025, 12:48 AM
Blue Origin, founded by Jeff Bezos, is set to launch its New Glenn rocket for the first time from Cape Canaveral, marking a significant milestone in the company's competition with SpaceX, led by Elon Musk. The launch, originally scheduled for Sunday, was postponed due to unfavorable sea conditions and is now planned for Monday at 1 a.m. ET. New Glenn, a 320-foot tall heavy-lift vehicle, aims to challenge SpaceX's dominance in the satellite launch market by offering a larger payload capacity and competitive launch costs. The rocket's first stage is powered by seven BE-4 engines, and it is designed to be reusable, with the booster intended to land on a floating platform named Jacklyn. This launch represents Blue Origin's first attempt at an orbital mission, carrying the Blue Ring Pathfinder payload, a critical step in its strategy to expand into the commercial space sector and provide satellite operators and the US government with an alternative to SpaceX's frequent launches and established market position.
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20% to 30% • 25%
Less than 10% • 25%
More than 30% • 25%
10% to 20% • 25%
Major competitor to SpaceX • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Significant player but not a major competitor • 25%
Minor player • 25%
Falcon Heavy maintains more launches • 25%
New Glenn surpasses Falcon Heavy in launches • 25%
Neither launches again in 2025 • 25%
Equal number of launches • 25%
Equivalent to Falcon Heavy • 25%
Better than Falcon Heavy • 25%
Worse than Falcon Heavy • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Arianespace • 25%
SpaceX • 25%
United Launch Alliance • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful launch and landing • 25%
Other • 25%
Successful launch, failed landing • 25%
Failed launch • 25%
Both are equal • 25%
New Glenn exceeds Falcon 9 • 25%
Falcon 9 exceeds New Glenn • 25%
Data unavailable • 25%
3-5 launches • 25%
9 or more launches • 25%
6-8 launches • 25%
0-2 launches • 25%
Failed orbit, successful landing • 25%
Failed orbit and landing • 25%
Successful orbit, failed landing • 25%
Successful orbit and landing • 25%
Success • 25%
Failure • 25%
Mission Cancelled • 25%
Partial Success • 25%
6-8 launches • 25%
0-2 launches • 25%
More than 8 launches • 25%
3-5 launches • 25%