Market
How will Israel's actions affect Middle East geopolitics by December 31, 2025?
2
Israeli•Benjamin Netanyahu•Donald Trump•Israel•Netanyahu•Iran•Hezbollah•Hamas•Gaza•Syria•Middle East•Lebanon•Naim Qassem
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased stability in the region • 25%
Increased tensions and conflicts • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Emergence of new alliances • 25%
Analyses from geopolitical experts and international relations reports
Story
Netanyahu and Trump Discuss Hostage Deal, Victory Over Iran Amid Hezbollah Supply Route Loss
Dec 15, 2024, 04:46 PM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu had a 'very friendly, very warm, and very important' phone conversation with U.S. President-elect Donald Trump on Saturday, discussing the need for Israel to achieve a 'complete victory' in its ongoing conflicts. Netanyahu emphasized Israel's determination to continue acting against Iran and its proxies, Hezbollah and Hamas, to prevent them from rearming and to secure the release of hostages held by Hamas in Gaza. He stated that Israel has no interest in conflict with Syria, but its actions there were aimed at thwarting potential threats and preventing terrorist elements from gaining control near its borders. Netanyahu also mentioned that Israel has significantly altered the dynamics in the Middle East, affecting Syria, Lebanon, Gaza, and Iran. Hezbollah leader Naim Qassem acknowledged the loss of their supply route through Syria due to Israeli actions.
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Other developments • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Support for Israel's actions • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Calls for peace talks • 25%
Increased regional tensions • 25%
Peace talks stall • 25%
Peace talks resume • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
New Prime Minister • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other significant political change • 25%
Change in military policy • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
No military action occurs • 25%
Iran retaliates against Israel • 25%
Israel conducts airstrikes on Iran • 25%
Both countries engage in conflict • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
Other diplomatic actions • 25%
Increased sanctions on Israel • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Alliances weakened • 25%
New alliances formed • 25%
Existing alliances strengthened • 25%
Strained Relations • 25%
Improved Relations • 25%
Other • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Support from major powers • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Diplomatic Measures • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Condemnation by major powers • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
No Action • 25%
Air strikes on Iranian targets • 25%
No military action • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Naval blockade • 25%
Condemnatory • 25%
Neutral • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Supportive • 25%