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How will Iran's influence in the Middle East through proxy forces change by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased influence • 25%
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Other developments • 25%
Reports from international think tanks or credible news agencies
Story
Macron: Iran's Nuclear Program Nears Point of No Return; Urges Snapback Sanctions Before October 2025
Jan 6, 2025, 12:34 PM
French President Emmanuel Macron warned on Monday that Iran's nuclear program is nearing the point of no return, highlighting Tehran's acceleration of its nuclear activities as a main strategic and security challenge in the Middle East and beyond. Speaking during his annual address to ambassadors, Macron emphasized the need for strategic discussions with U.S. President Donald Trump's administration regarding Iran, suggesting that Western leaders may need to consider reimposing snapback sanctions before their expiration in October 2025. He also cited Iran's support for Russia's war against Ukraine, backing of dangerous groups in the region, and deployment of proxy forces to Africa as additional concerns.
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Decreased influence • 25%
Iran isolated • 25%
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No significant change • 25%
Power balance remains stable • 25%
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Increased Iranian influence • 25%
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No statement made • 25%
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Iranian influence confirmed • 25%
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Moderate decrease • 25%
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Increased involvement in Yemen • 25%
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Increased involvement in Syria • 25%
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Military Intervention • 25%
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New Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Negotiations • 25%