Market
How will international community respond to Ukraine's conscription policy by end of 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Support current policy • 25%
Pressure to lower age • 25%
Encourage other recruitment methods • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Statements from international bodies like NATO, EU, or major countries
Story
Ukraine Rejects U.S. Calls to Lower Draft Age from 25 to 18, Says Senior Official Amid Recruitment Challenges
Dec 5, 2024, 03:08 PM
Ukrainian officials have firmly rejected calls from the United States to lower the conscription age from 25 to 18. A senior Ukrainian official stated that the country's position is clear and that they will not lower the mobilization age, despite pressures from Washington. The official emphasized that the current age of 25 is maintained to protect the youth, with one mother expressing concern that lowering the age would lead to the 'destruction of the Ukrainian people.' Reports indicate that Ukrainian military officials have not discussed the possibility of lowering the draft age, even as U.S. officials express the need for increased manpower amid ongoing recruitment and desertion challenges within the Ukrainian army. Former U.S. Army Europe commander Ben Hodges has suggested that Ukraine should consider lowering the draft age to 18 and also recruit women and refugees to bolster its armed forces. However, the consensus among Ukrainian leadership remains against any changes to the current draft age policy.
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Lowered to 18 • 25%
Remains unchanged • 25%
Increased • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Increased military aid • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Joint military exercises or support • 25%
Diplomatic criticism • 25%
Conscription age remains unchanged • 25%
Conscription age lowered • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Alternative recruitment strategies adopted • 25%
Increased military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Calls for ceasefire • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Conscription age unchanged • 25%
Conscription age increased • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Conscription age lowered • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Sanctions • 25%
Investigation • 25%
No action • 25%
Majority support lowering age • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Majority oppose lowering age • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military aid to Ukraine • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
No change in policy • 25%
Draft age lowered to 18 • 25%
Draft age remains at 25 • 25%
Draft age changed to between 19-24 • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Diplomatic Talks Initiated • 25%
Military Support to Ukraine • 25%
Increased Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increased Military Aid to Ukraine • 25%
Increased Sanctions on Russia • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Mediation Efforts • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Supportive • 25%
No official stance • 25%
Neutral • 25%