Market
How many undocumented immigrants will be apprehended in sanctuary cities during the operation by mid-2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 50,000 • 25%
50,000 to 100,000 • 25%
100,001 to 150,000 • 25%
More than 150,000 • 25%
Reports from Immigration and Customs Enforcement or Department of Homeland Security
Story
Trump Administration Begins Deportation of Over 700,000 Illegal Immigrants With Criminal Records on January 21, 2025
Jan 21, 2025, 06:57 PM
President Donald Trump's administration has initiated a nationwide operation targeting illegal immigrants, as confirmed by Border Czar Tom Homan. The operation, which began on January 21, 2025, focuses on apprehending and deporting individuals who pose public safety threats, specifically targeting over 700,000 illegal immigrants with criminal records. Homan emphasized that Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) teams are actively engaged in these targeted enforcement operations across the United States. The operation follows executive orders signed by Trump aimed at tightening border security and enforcing immigration laws. Homan noted that while the priority is on those with criminal records, the operation may also lead to the arrest of other undocumented individuals encountered during these actions, particularly in sanctuary cities where ICE cannot access jails to apprehend criminal aliens.
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300 to 499 • 25%
500 or more • 25%
Less than 100 • 25%
100 to 299 • 25%
100-500 arrests • 25%
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More than 1000 arrests • 25%
501-1000 arrests • 25%
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11 to 15 • 25%
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600,000 to 650,000 • 25%
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Only Chicago • 25%
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Over 2 million • 25%
1 million to 2 million • 25%
Under 500,000 • 25%
500,000 to 1 million • 25%
4-5 cities • 25%
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Only Chicago • 25%
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More than 10,000 arrests • 25%
5,001 to 10,000 arrests • 25%
1,000 to 5,000 arrests • 25%
Less than 1,000 arrests • 25%