Market
How many families will be deported without separation by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
More than 100,000 families • 25%
50,000 to 100,000 families • 25%
10,000 to 50,000 families • 25%
Less than 10,000 families • 25%
Official reports from U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE)
Story
Trump to Deploy Military for Mass Deportations, Considers Camps; Plan May Begin in Chicago
Dec 12, 2024, 04:07 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has announced plans to use the U.S. military to conduct mass deportations of migrants, stating he will employ the military up to the 'maximum' legal extent to round up and deport illegal immigrants. In an interview with Time magazine, Trump indicated he is willing to establish camps to detain migrants before deportation and is prepared to do "whatever it takes" to remove illegal immigrants from the country, adding, "I don't care." He compared illegal immigration to an invasion that must be stopped. Trump asserted that he does not anticipate needing to separate families during deportations, as he intends to send entire families back to their countries of origin. The initiative may begin in Chicago, according to his newly appointed 'border czar'. A recent statistic shows that 59% of Americans support mass deportations.
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Similar markets
Over 2 million • 25%
Under 500,000 • 25%
500,000 to 1 million • 25%
1 million to 2 million • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
More than 2 million • 25%
1 million to 2 million • 25%
500,000 to 1 million • 25%
Less than 500,000 • 25%
1 million to 1.5 million • 25%
500,000 to 1 million • 25%
Less than 500,000 • 25%
More than 1.5 million • 25%
Less than 100,000 • 25%
More than 1,000,000 • 25%
500,001 to 1,000,000 • 25%
100,000 to 500,000 • 25%
More than 150,000 • 25%
100,001 to 150,000 • 25%
50,000 to 100,000 • 25%
Less than 50,000 • 25%
Other gangs • 25%
No significant deportations • 25%
Venezuelan gangs • 25%
MS-13 • 25%
1 to 5 million • 25%
More than 10 million • 25%
5 to 10 million • 25%
Less than 1 million • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Fully implemented • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Not implemented • 25%
Moderate increase in deportations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Decrease in deportations • 25%
Significant increase in deportations • 25%
Fully implemented • 25%
Halted by legal challenges • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Not implemented • 25%