Market
How many Trump executive orders face legal challenges by Jun 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 50 • 25%
50 to 99 • 25%
100 to 149 • 25%
150 or more • 25%
Court records and news reports on legal challenges to executive orders
Story
Trump Plans 200 Executive Orders on First Day to Overhaul Government
Jan 20, 2025, 06:15 PM
Donald Trump has returned to the White House and is poised to immediately overhaul the government using executive orders. This tool allows a president to implement policies without congressional approval, though there are limits to their effectiveness. Trump plans to issue as many as 200 executive orders on his first day, potentially addressing issues such as deportations, the U.S.-Mexico border, domestic energy production, federal worker rules, school gender policies, and vaccine mandates. He has also promised an executive order to extend the sale of TikTok and another to stop the development of offshore windmills. Additionally, Trump aims to increase domestic energy production and halt diversity, equity, and inclusion programs within the federal government. His approach to executive orders is expected to face opposition from Democrats, and some of his orders may be more symbolic, reflecting campaign promises rather than immediate policy changes.
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More than 30 • 25%
21 to 30 • 25%
Less than 10 • 25%
10 to 20 • 25%
Department of Energy • 25%
Department of Defense • 25%
Department of Homeland Security • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Majority of challenges successful • 25%
No significant challenges • 25%
Some challenges, none successful • 25%
Some challenges, some successful • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
All blocked • 25%
Ongoing litigation • 25%
Some upheld, some blocked • 25%
All upheld • 25%
No Challenges • 25%
3-5 Challenges • 25%
1-2 Challenges • 25%
More than 5 Challenges • 25%
Pardons for January 6 rioters • 25%
Other • 25%
Ending birthright citizenship • 25%
Withdrawal from Paris Climate Agreement • 25%
7 to 9 • 25%
10 or more • 25%
1 to 3 • 25%
4 to 6 • 25%