Market
How many deportations will Operation Aurora conduct by March 31, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 100,000 • 25%
100,000 to 200,000 • 25%
200,001 to 300,000 • 25%
More than 300,000 • 25%
Official deportation statistics released by ICE
Story
Trump Announces Operation Aurora: Largest Deportation Operation in U.S. History Set for January 2025
Dec 23, 2024, 06:00 PM
Donald Trump has announced plans to initiate what he describes as the largest deportation operation in U.S. history, referencing a program larger than that of former President Dwight D. Eisenhower. This announcement comes as Trump prepares to take office again, with his administration expected to launch the operation under the title 'Operation Aurora.' The plan has generated significant discussion, with supporters expressing eagerness for its implementation. However, challenges are anticipated, including staffing issues within Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), as the agency prepares for the operational demands of mass deportations. Immigrant families are reportedly facing uncertainty and anxiety as they anticipate the impact of these plans in the coming months.
View original story
Similar markets
100,001 to 150,000 • 25%
50,000 to 100,000 • 25%
Less than 50,000 • 25%
More than 150,000 • 25%
New York • 25%
Chicago • 25%
San Diego • 25%
Miami • 25%
More than 2 million • 25%
1 million • 25%
Less than 1 million • 25%
2 million • 25%
500,000 to 1 million • 25%
Less than 500,000 • 25%
1 million to 1.5 million • 25%
More than 1.5 million • 25%
More than 1,000,000 • 25%
100,000 to 500,000 • 25%
500,001 to 1,000,000 • 25%
Less than 100,000 • 25%
No significant deportations • 25%
Other gangs • 25%
Venezuelan gangs • 25%
MS-13 • 25%
More than 10,000 arrests • 25%
5,001 to 10,000 arrests • 25%
1,000 to 5,000 arrests • 25%
Less than 1,000 arrests • 25%
