Market
How many arrests will the Chicago operation result in by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
0-50 arrests • 25%
51-100 arrests • 25%
101-150 arrests • 25%
Over 150 arrests • 25%
Official announcements from ICE or other federal agencies involved in the operation
Story
Trump Administration's Chicago Immigration Operation Targets Criminal Aliens, Overseen by Bove and Homan
Jan 26, 2025, 07:27 PM
The Trump administration has launched an immigration enforcement operation in Chicago, involving multiple federal agencies including the FBI, DEA, ATF, U.S. Marshals Service, and ICE. Acting Deputy Attorney General Emil Bove and Border Czar Tom Homan are in Chicago to oversee the operation, which aims to enforce U.S. immigration laws and enhance public safety and national security by targeting potentially dangerous criminal aliens. The operation began on Sunday, with few details released about the number of arrests or specific locations. This action follows President Donald Trump's promise to ramp up deportations and arrests of illegal immigrants, amidst tensions with sanctuary cities like Chicago, which has strong sanctuary protections. TV personality Dr. Phil is embedded with the operation, focusing on 270 high-value targets. The operation is part of a response to what the administration describes as a 'national emergency' caused by previous immigration policies.
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Similar markets
400 to 500 • 25%
Less than 400 • 25%
More than 600 • 25%
501 to 600 • 25%
More than 200 targets apprehended • 25%
All targets apprehended • 25%
100-200 targets apprehended • 25%
Less than 100 targets apprehended • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
ICE • 25%
FBI • 25%
DEA • 25%
U.S. Marshals Service • 25%
Moderate increase in arrests • 25%
Decrease in arrests • 25%
No significant change in arrests • 25%
Significant increase in arrests • 25%
FBI • 25%
DEA • 25%
ICE • 25%
U.S. Marshals Service • 25%
100 to 299 • 25%
300 to 499 • 25%
500 or more • 25%
Less than 100 • 25%
5,001 to 10,000 arrests • 25%
Less than 1,000 arrests • 25%
1,000 to 5,000 arrests • 25%
More than 10,000 arrests • 25%