Market
Hezbollah's stance on supporting Assad in northern Syria by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Send fighters • 25%
Provide logistical support • 25%
Remain neutral • 25%
Withdraw support entirely • 25%
Official statements from Hezbollah or credible news sources
Story
Hezbollah Withholds Support for Assad in Northern Syria Amidst Assad's Bombing
Dec 2, 2024, 03:21 PM
Hezbollah, the Lebanese militant group, has no current intention to send fighters to northern Syria to support President Bashar al-Assad, according to three sources familiar with the organization's thinking, as reported by Reuters. This decision comes amidst Assad's recent bombing of rebel-held areas, which has risked new refugee flows. Turkey's role in the conflict is larger than it appears, aiming to exploit the diminished Hezbollah backing to Assad to push him back to negotiations from a position of weakness.
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Similar markets
No official policy • 25%
Support Hezbollah • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Oppose Hezbollah • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Partially withdrawn • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased presence • 25%
Fully withdrawn beyond Litani River • 25%
Complete Rebel Defeat • 25%
Rebel Gains • 25%
Assad Overthrown • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
