Market
First International Mediator in Venezuela-Paraguay Conflict by End of 2025?
2
Nicolás Maduro•Paraguay•Venezuela•Santiago Peña•Edmundo González Urrutia•Peña•González•Venezuelan•Ricardo Capella•South American
Resolution / Starting Odds
United Nations • 25%
Organization of American States • 25%
Mercosur • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from international organizations
Story
Venezuela and Paraguay Break Ties, Expel Diplomats Over González Recognition
Jan 6, 2025, 08:10 PM
Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro has ordered the breaking of diplomatic relations with Paraguay, announcing the withdrawal of Venezuela's diplomatic personnel, after Paraguayan President Santiago Peña recognized opposition leader Edmundo González Urrutia as the legitimate president-elect of Venezuela. Venezuela rejected Peña's statements as ignoring international law. In response, Paraguay reaffirmed its support for González, demanded that Venezuelan Ambassador Ricardo Capella and diplomatic staff leave the country within 48 hours, and recognized González as president-elect four days before his inauguration. The diplomatic rift escalates tensions between the two South American nations over disputed election results.
View original story
Similar markets
Organization of American States • 25%
Other organization • 25%
European Union • 25%
United Nations • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Other • 25%
European Union • 25%
Organization of American States • 25%
Organization of American States • 25%
Other • 25%
International Red Cross • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Humanitarian Aid • 25%
Human Rights Violations • 25%
Democratic Transition • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia • 25%
United States • 25%
United Nations • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
United Nations • 25%
China • 25%
Other • 25%
United Nations • 25%
European Union • 25%
Arab League • 25%
Mediation efforts initiated • 25%
Recognition of González by majority • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sanctions against Maduro • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
China • 25%