Market
Entity claiming most significant victory in Israel-Hamas ceasefire by end of 2025?
2
Iran•Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps•IRGC•Israel•Hamas•Gaza•Palestinian•Israeli•Tasnim•Palestine•Iranian•Ayatollah Ali Khamenei•Qatar•Egypt•Foreign Ministry•Palestinians
Resolution / Starting Odds
Hamas • 25%
Israel • 25%
Iran • 25%
Other • 25%
Statements from involved parties and analysis by political experts
Story
Iran's IRGC Hails Gaza Ceasefire as Palestinian Victory, Defeat for Israel
Jan 16, 2025, 08:26 AM
Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has hailed the ceasefire agreement between Israel and Hamas in Gaza as a 'great victory' for the Palestinian resistance and a 'defeat' for Israel. The ceasefire, which is set to take effect on Sunday, involves the release of Israeli hostages held by Hamas in exchange for Palestinian prisoners. The IRGC's statement, shared by semi-official Tasnim news agency, emphasized that the ceasefire is a clear victory for Palestine and a significant setback for Israel, following 15 months of war. Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei also praised the Palestinian resistance for forcing Israel to 'retreat.' The agreement was mediated by Qatar and Egypt, with the U.S. playing a significant role in the negotiations. Iran's Foreign Ministry described the ceasefire as a 'historical victory' for Palestinians, who have endured what it referred to as one of the biggest acts of genocide in history.
View original story
Similar markets
Turkey • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
Israeli Government • 25%
Trump Administration • 25%
Biden Administration • 25%
Hamas • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Other • 25%
Arab League • 25%
European Union • 25%
Ceasefire broken, major conflict resumes • 25%
Ceasefire broken, minor skirmishes • 25%
Ceasefire holds, no major conflict • 25%
New agreement reached • 25%
United States • 25%
Egypt • 25%
Other • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Donald Trump • 25%
Both equally • 25%
Neither • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Ceasefire holds without full agreement • 25%
Ceasefire breaks with renewed conflict • 25%
Ceasefire extended with negotiations ongoing • 25%
Ceasefire holds with full peace agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Egypt • 25%
Qatar • 25%
United States • 25%
Egypt and Qatar only • 25%
United States involvement • 25%
Other countries involved • 25%
No mediation • 25%
PFLP • 25%
Israeli Government • 25%
Hamas • 25%
Islamic Jihad • 25%
Sustained peace • 25%
Resumption of conflict • 25%
Partial implementation with tensions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Egypt • 25%
USA • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Other • 25%