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Main sticking point in Gaza ceasefire negotiations by February 28, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Hostage release terms • 25%
Ceasefire duration • 25%
Border security arrangements • 25%
Other • 25%
The outcome can be determined based on analysis and reports from credible news sources such as The Washington Post or The Guardian.
Story
Netanyahu Delays Cabinet Vote on Ceasefire Deal, Accuses Hamas of Last-Minute Crisis
Jan 16, 2025, 09:02 AM
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's office has accused Hamas of reneging on parts of the Gaza ceasefire and hostage release deal, creating a last-minute crisis that prevents the completion of the agreement. Netanyahu's office stated that Hamas is backtracking on explicit understandings reached with mediators and Israel in an attempt to extort last-minute concessions. As a result, the Israeli Cabinet will not meet to approve the ceasefire deal until mediators confirm that Hamas has fully agreed to all elements of the agreement.
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Hostage exchange terms • 25%
Involvement of third-party mediators • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire conditions • 25%
Security Issues • 25%
Other • 25%
Humanitarian Concerns • 25%
Political Disagreements • 25%
Other • 25%
Disagreements over hostage release terms • 25%
Disagreements over prisoner release terms • 25%
Logistical challenges • 25%
Partial agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Full agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
New Israeli conditions • 25%
Other • 25%
Lack of international mediation • 25%
Disagreements over hostage release • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Talks collapse • 25%
Full agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement reached • 25%
New Israeli demands • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Other • 25%
Internal Palestinian disagreements • 25%
Egypt • 25%
United States • 25%
Qatar • 25%
Other • 25%
External Influence • 25%
Other • 25%
Israeli Actions • 25%
Hamas Actions • 25%
Border security • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Humanitarian aid • 25%
Prisoner exchange • 25%
Immediate cessation of hostilities • 25%
Humanitarian aid access • 25%
Exchange of prisoners • 25%
Other • 25%