Loading...
Market
Legal outcome of Oregon's transgender athlete ban by end of 2025
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ban upheld • 33%
Ban partially struck down • 34%
Ban entirely struck down • 33%
Court ruling documents and legal analyses
Story
Transgender Athlete Aayden Gallagher Wins 200m Race, Places 2nd in 400m at Oregon State Championships on May 18 Amid Controversy
May 18, 2024, 08:19 PM
Aayden Gallagher, a transgender athlete born male, has sparked controversy by competing in and winning the Girls Varsity 200m race at the 2024 OSAA Track & Field State Championships in Eugene, Oregon on May 18. Gallagher also placed second in the 400m race, securing a spot in the Oregon state championships. The athlete's participation has been met with significant public backlash, including audible boos from the audience. Gallagher reportedly received a personal police escort to the field. The issue has garnered attention as 14 states have already banned transgender athletes from competing in women's sports, and state lawmakers are being petitioned to take action.
View original story
Similar markets
Appeal successful, ban reinstated • 33%
Appeal fails, ban remains overturned • 33%
Case dismissed, no conclusive ruling • 34%
Win for transgender athletes • 33%
Loss for transgender athletes • 33%
Settled out of court • 33%
Appeal successful • 33%
Appeal unsuccessful • 33%
Case dismissed • 34%
Rule changes to prevent similar cases • 33%
No significant changes • 33%
Increased regulations but not outright bans • 33%
Increase in support or funding • 33%
Decrease in support or funding • 33%
No substantial change • 34%
Challenges successful • 33%
Challenges partially successful • 33%
Challenges unsuccessful • 34%
Ban Upheld • 33%
Ban Struck Down • 33%
Partially Upheld • 34%
More restrictive • 33%
Less restrictive • 33%
No change • 33%
Appeal successful • 33%
Appeal unsuccessful • 33%
Case dismissed • 34%
Multiple new challenges • 33%
Isolated cases • 33%
No new challenges • 34%