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Market
Leading candidate for 2025 Bolivian presidential election by June 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Luis Arce • 25%
Carlos Mesa • 25%
Jeanine Áñez • 25%
Other • 25%
Polling data from reputable sources in Bolivia
Story
Bolivia's Constitutional Court Bars Evo Morales from 2025 Election, Upholding Two-Term Limit
Nov 9, 2024, 11:45 AM
Bolivia's Constitutional Court has officially barred former president Evo Morales from running for political office in the upcoming 2025 elections. The court reaffirmed its ruling that a president cannot serve more than two consecutive terms, effectively closing the door on Morales's potential re-election. This decision follows a broader judicial reform aimed at upholding constitutional supremacy in the country. Morales, who served as president from 2006 until his resignation in 2019, has faced ongoing legal and political challenges regarding his eligibility for future candidacies.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Luis Arce's government • 33%
General Juan José Zuñiga's military junta • 33%
Another faction • 33%
Luis Arce remains in power • 33%
Luis Arce steps down • 33%
Military or other intervention occurs • 33%
Arce consolidates power • 33%
New political alliances form • 33%
Increased political fragmentation • 33%
International arrest request • 25%
Local trial in absentia • 25%
No further action • 25%
Charges modified • 25%
President Arce remains in power • 33%
General Zuñiga takes control • 33%
New elections announced • 34%
Keiko Fujimori • 25%
Pedro Castillo • 25%
Verónika Mendoza • 25%
Other • 25%
In Bolivia • 25%
In Argentina • 25%
In Another Country • 25%
Unknown • 25%
