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Leadership change in Belarus following security pact by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Alexander Lukashenko remains • 25%
New president appointed • 25%
Military leadership • 25%
Other • 25%
Official announcements from Belarusian government, verified by international news agencies
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Russia, Belarus to Ink Security Pact on Friday, Including Nuclear Weapons
Dec 6, 2024, 12:33 PM
Russian President Vladimir Putin has announced that Russia and Belarus will sign an interstate treaty on security guarantees within the framework of the Union State at the Supreme State Council meeting in Minsk on Friday. The agreement includes provisions for deploying all available forces, including Russian nuclear weapons and tactical nuclear weapons, to ensure the defense and sovereignty of both nations. This mutual security pact is seen as a significant step in enhancing the military and strategic partnership between Moscow and Minsk.
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Other leadership change • 25%
New president elected • 25%
Alexander Lukashenko remains • 25%
Military coup • 25%
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Request for reduction of foreign military presence • 25%
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