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Belarus-Russia joint military exercise near NATO borders by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the Belarusian or Russian defense ministries or credible international news agencies
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Russia and Belarus Revise Nuclear Doctrine, Bolster Union State Military Ties with 2025 Agreements
Dec 4, 2024, 03:03 AM
Russia and Belarus have revised their nuclear doctrine, extending it to include Belarus under Russia's nuclear security guarantees. This move equates attacks on Belarus with attacks on Russia, signaling a strengthened military alliance within the Union State. The revision comes amidst the emergence of advanced weapon technologies, as noted by Belarusian Deputy Foreign Minister Igor Nazaruk, who stated, 'This could not fail to influence the adjustments.' Additionally, the two nations are enhancing military coordination by establishing three joint training centers—one in Belarus near NATO's borders in Hrodna and two in Russia. Over 160 military agreements have been signed for 2025, further solidifying their cooperation.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase military presence in Poland • 25%
Issue formal condemnation • 25%
Initiate new military exercises • 25%
No significant response • 25%
China • 25%
Russia • 25%
Kazakhstan • 25%
Other • 25%
In Belarus • 25%
In Russia • 25%
In both countries • 25%
No exercises • 25%
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No • 50%
Near Polish border • 25%
Near Lithuanian border • 25%
Near Ukrainian border • 25%
Other location • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
