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International reactions to Russian defense leadership change by end of 2024
3
Russian•Vladimir Putin•Sergei Shoigu•Russian Security Council•Nikolai Patrushev•Andrey Belousov•Shoigu•Ukraine
Resolution / Starting Odds
USA expresses concerns • 25%
EU issues formal statement • 25%
China supports the change • 25%
No significant international reactions • 25%
Official statements or credible international news reports
Story
Putin Appoints Shoigu as Security Council Secretary, Names Belousov New Defense Minister
May 12, 2024, 08:06 PM
Russian President Vladimir Putin has made significant changes to his security team, dismissing Sergei Shoigu as the Minister of Defense and appointing him as the Secretary of the Russian Security Council, a position previously held by Nikolai Patrushev since 2008. Andrey Belousov, previously the First Deputy Prime Minister and a noted economist who also served as a longtime economic advisor, has been nominated to replace Shoigu as the Minister of Defense. These changes come amid ongoing challenges in the war in Ukraine, suggesting strategic shifts within the Russian government.
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No Change • 25%
Change in Top Commander • 25%
Change in Defense Minister • 25%
Widespread Leadership Changes • 25%
Condemnation by the UN Security Council • 25%
New sanctions imposed by Western countries • 25%
No significant international reaction • 25%
Support from China or other allies • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
New sanctions by EU/US • 25%
Support from China or North Korea • 25%
No significant international reaction • 25%
US issues sanctions • 33%
EU issues joint statement of condemnation • 33%
China publicly supports Russia • 34%
Supportive • 33%
Neutral • 33%
Condemnatory • 34%
Support from the majority • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Predominant opposition • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Vladimir Putin remains • 25%
Defense Minister replaced • 25%
Chief of General Staff replaced • 25%
Other significant changes • 25%
Widespread support • 25%
Widespread criticism • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Indifference • 25%
Vladimir Putin • 25%
Joe Biden • 25%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy • 25%
No Change • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Opposed • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Putin remains President • 25%
Putin resigns • 25%
Putin replaced by new President • 25%
Other leadership change • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 33%
Economic sanctions • 33%
Military escalation • 34%