Loading...
Market
International diplomatic intervention following PLA drills by August 2024?
5
PLA•Taiwan•Joint Sword•Eastern Theater Command•Taiwan Strait•Taiwan Island•Kinmen•Matsu•Wuqiu•Dongyin•Chinese
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
UN Security Council records and major international news reports
Story
China's PLA Begins Joint Sword-2024A Military Drills Surrounding Taiwan
May 23, 2024, 01:27 AM
The Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) has commenced extensive joint military drills surrounding Taiwan, starting from 7:45 a.m. on Thursday. These exercises, named 'Joint Sword-2024A,' are being conducted by the Eastern Theater Command and involve the navy, air force, and rocket force. The drills are taking place in the Taiwan Strait, and the north, south, and east of Taiwan Island, as well as around the islands of Kinmen, Matsu, Wuqiu, and Dongyin. The Chinese government has stated that these drills are a response to 'separatist acts' and serve as a 'strong punishment' for Taiwan's independence movements. The military activities, scheduled from May 23 to May 24, come just days after Lai Ching-te was inaugurated as Taiwan's new president. Taiwan's defense ministry has condemned the exercises and has deployed sea and air forces in response, asserting its capability to protect the island's sovereignty.
View original story
Similar markets
Condemnation by multiple countries • 33%
Support from allies of China • 33%
No significant international response • 34%
Condemnation from more than 5 countries • 25%
Formal sanctions against China • 25%
No significant international response • 25%
Increased military aid to Taiwan from allies • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Condemnation from multiple countries • 33%
Support from any major country • 33%
No significant international reaction • 34%
Further drills • 33%
No further action • 33%
Military conflict • 34%
