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Impact on Niger Government Stability After US Troop Withdrawal by 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Stable • 25%
Mild instability • 25%
Significant instability • 25%
Improved stability • 25%
Analyses from political think tanks and international stability indexes
Story
Pentagon Orders Withdrawal of 1,000 U.S. Troops from Niger, Impacting Biden's Counter-Terrorism Efforts
May 10, 2024, 03:47 PM
The Pentagon has officially ordered the withdrawal of all 1,000 U.S. combat troops from Niger, as announced by Pentagon chief Lloyd Austin in the Senate. This decision, a significant setback for the Biden administration, comes in response to Niger's military revoking its cooperation deal with Washington. The move is seen as a blow to U.S. efforts to counter terrorism and Russian influence in West Africa. The timeline for withdrawal could still change as congressional negotiations continue.
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Improvement in governance and stability • 25%
Deterioration in governance and stability • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Initial instability followed by improvement • 25%
Increase in regional security threats • 33%
No significant change in security situation • 34%
Improvement in regional security • 33%
Improved relations • 25%
Unchanged relations • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
New strategic alignment • 25%
Strengthen local defenses • 33%
Seek other international partnerships • 33%
Reduced military capacity • 34%
Increase in diplomatic efforts • 25%
Reduction in overall presence • 25%
Shift focus to other regions • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increased instability • 34%
Stability maintained • 33%
Improved stability • 33%
Fully restored • 25%
Partially restored • 25%
Unchanged • 25%
Further deteriorated • 25%
Deteriorating relations with Niger • 33%
Strategic realignment of US forces • 33%
Economic considerations • 33%