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Market
Impact on AfD Membership Post-Court Ruling
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increase in Membership • 33%
Decrease in Membership • 33%
No Significant Change • 34%
AfD's official membership reports, major news outlets
Story
German Court Upholds Extremist Classification for AfD, Allows Continued Surveillance
May 13, 2024, 09:10 AM
A German high court has upheld the classification of the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party as a potential extremist group, allowing domestic security services to continue surveillance. This decision confirms the intelligence agency's right to monitor the AfD, which is considered a threat to democracy. The ruling supports the ongoing scrutiny and investigation of the party's members as suspected extremists.
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Increase in votes • 33%
Decrease in votes • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Reduction in activities • 33%
Expansion in activities • 33%
No significant change in activities • 34%
Increase in vote share • 33%
Decrease in vote share • 33%
No significant change in vote share • 34%
More negative • 33%
More positive • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Increase • 50%
Decrease • 50%
Increase in support • 33%
Decrease in support • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Other organizations adopt more inclusive policies • 33%
No significant change in other organizations • 33%
Other organizations adopt more restrictive policies • 34%
No change in policies • 33%
Moderate changes in policies • 33%
Significant changes in policies • 34%
Remains in current position • 33%
Demoted within the party • 33%
Expelled from the party • 34%
Support surveillance measures • 25%
Oppose surveillance measures • 25%
Propose stricter regulations • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%