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Market
AfD Leadership Change Within a Year Post-Court Ruling
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Leadership Change • 50%
No Leadership Change • 50%
Official party communications, major news outlets
Story
German Court Upholds Extremist Classification for AfD, Allows Continued Surveillance
May 13, 2024, 09:10 AM
A German high court has upheld the classification of the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party as a potential extremist group, allowing domestic security services to continue surveillance. This decision confirms the intelligence agency's right to monitor the AfD, which is considered a threat to democracy. The ruling supports the ongoing scrutiny and investigation of the party's members as suspected extremists.
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Similar markets
Remains in current position • 33%
Demoted within the party • 33%
Expelled from the party • 34%
No change in policies • 33%
Moderate changes in policies • 33%
Significant changes in policies • 34%
Increase in votes • 33%
Decrease in votes • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Increase • 50%
Decrease • 50%
Introduce more moderate policies • 25%
Maintain current policies • 25%
Adopt more extreme policies • 25%
Significant restructuring of party platform • 25%
