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Impact of balloon incident on inter-Korean relations by end of 2024
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Worsened relations • 33%
Unchanged relations • 33%
Improved relations • 34%
Analysis and reports from geopolitical and area studies institutes
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South Korea Detects Over 150 Balloons from North Korea, Some Bursting with Manure
May 29, 2024, 01:28 AM
South Korea has detected over 150 balloons sent from North Korea, many of which are filled with trash, sewage, and propaganda leaflets. The launch of these balloons is believed to be a response to anti-North Korea leaflets sent from South Korea in May. South Korean military forces have detected the balloons entering their airspace, with several landing near the Korean Demilitarized Zone (DMZ). Some of the balloons have been found bursting with manure. Authorities have dispatched CRRT and EOD teams to handle the situation. Residents near the border have been warned to stay alert.
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Relations worsen • 34%
Relations improve • 33%
No significant change • 33%
Diplomatic protest • 33%
Economic sanctions • 33%
Military readiness increase • 34%
Condemnation • 34%
Support for North Korea • 33%
Neutral or no official reaction • 33%
Protests • 25%
Public Support for Government Actions • 25%
Increased Anti-North Korea Sentiment • 25%
No Significant Reaction • 25%
New peace talks announced • 33%
Escalation of tensions • 33%
Status quo maintained • 34%
Improved • 33%
Unchanged • 33%
Worsened • 34%
De-escalation through talks • 25%
Continued military standoff • 25%
Minor skirmishes • 25%
Escalation to armed conflict • 25%
No further incidents • 33%
1-2 more incidents • 33%
3 or more incidents • 34%
Strengthened relations • 33%
No significant change • 33%
Weakened relations • 34%
No significant response • 33%
Diplomatic condemnation • 33%
Economic sanctions • 34%
Denial of incident • 25%
Condemnation of South Korea • 25%
No official response • 25%
Request for talks • 25%