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HTS Dissolution Declaration at National Dialogue Conference by End of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from the National Dialogue Conference
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Syrian Leader Ahmed al-Sharaa Announces HTS Dissolution, Says Elections May Take Up to Four Years
Dec 29, 2024, 07:18 PM
Ahmed al-Sharaa, Syria's de facto leader and head of Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS), stated that organizing elections could take up to four years, as a comprehensive population census is required. In an exclusive interview with Al Arabiya on Sunday, al-Sharaa also said that drafting a new constitution may take three years to ensure a lasting framework. He announced that the dissolution of HTS will be declared at the upcoming National Dialogue Conference. Al-Sharaa noted the importance of maintaining ties with Iran and Russia.
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HTS Dissolved • 25%
No Decision Made • 25%
HTS Rebrands • 25%
HTS Remains Active • 25%
No change to HTS • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
HTS dissolved • 25%
HTS restructured • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Recognized by China • 25%
Not recognized by any • 25%
Recognized by USA • 25%
Recognized by Russia • 25%
HTS not dissolved, Kurdish forces integrated • 25%
HTS dissolved, Kurdish forces integrated • 25%
HTS dissolved, Kurdish forces not integrated • 25%
HTS not dissolved, Kurdish forces not integrated • 25%
