Loading...
Market
Will Trump's civil fraud case impact his presidency by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Public statements from the White House or significant policy changes attributed to the case
Story
NY AG James Rejects Trump's Plea to Drop $454M Civil Fraud Case
Dec 10, 2024, 05:18 PM
New York Attorney General Letitia James has decided not to drop the civil fraud case against President-elect Donald Trump, despite his request to do so for the greater good of the country. Trump was ordered to pay a judgment of approximately $454 million, which he is currently appealing. James's office has stated that the case does not impede Trump's official duties in a way that violates the U.S. Constitution, arguing that presidents are not immune from civil litigation. This decision comes as Trump's legal team contends with the implications of the case on his presidency.
View original story
Similar markets
Negative impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Mixed impact • 25%
No impact • 25%
Strengthens political career • 25%
Weakens political career • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Ends political career • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Pardon • 25%
Other significant impact • 25%
No impact on presidency • 25%
Resigns from presidency • 25%
Impeachment proceedings initiated • 25%
Increased support for Trump • 25%
Polarized opinion • 25%
Decreased support for Trump • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Ends political career • 25%
No impact • 25%
Minor impact • 25%
Major impact • 25%
Loss of political support • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Increased legal scrutiny • 25%
Withdrawal from political race • 25%
Moderate impact • 25%
No impact • 25%
Significant impact • 25%
Minimal impact • 25%
No impact • 25%
Significant negative impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Minor negative impact • 25%
Judgment overturned • 25%
Case ongoing • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
Judgment upheld • 25%
No impact • 25%
Positive impact • 25%
Negative impact • 25%
Mixed impact • 25%
Conviction overturned • 25%
Conviction upheld with further proceedings • 25%
Case permanently halted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%