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How will the conflict between Sudan's military and RSF resolve by the end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Military victory • 25%
RSF victory • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Ongoing conflict • 25%
Reports from international organizations or credible news outlets
Story
U.S. Officials Confirm Sudan's Military Used Chemical Weapons at Least Twice Against RSF, Authorized by General al-Burhan
Jan 16, 2025, 04:55 PM
The United States has determined that Sudan's military has used chemical weapons at least twice against the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) during ongoing conflicts. This assessment, confirmed by four senior U.S. officials, indicates that the chemical weapons were deployed in recent battles as the military fights for control of the country. The specifics regarding the type of chemical weapons used remain unclear, as knowledge of the program is reportedly confined to a small group within the Sudanese military. U.S. officials noted that General Abdel Fattah al-Burhan authorized the use of these weapons. In response to these findings, sanctions against the Sudanese military chief are anticipated.
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Similar markets
RSF Victory • 25%
Sudanese Army Victory • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Peace Agreement • 25%
RSF victory • 25%
Sudanese army victory • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Conflict continues • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Ceasefire without agreement • 25%
United Nations • 25%
Other • 25%
United States • 25%
African Union • 25%
Political negotiations • 25%
International sanctions • 25%
Military conflict • 25%
Humanitarian crisis • 25%
Increased military control • 25%
Negotiated settlement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Leadership change • 25%
