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How will Israeli public opinion change regarding the ceasefire and prisoner exchange deal by February 28, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased support for the government • 25%
Increased opposition to the government • 25%
No significant change in opinion • 25%
Other • 25%
Public opinion polls conducted by reputable Israeli polling organizations
Story
Trump Announces Deal for Release of 33 Hostages and 1,000 Palestinian Prisoners Amid Israel-Hamas Ceasefire
Jan 15, 2025, 05:16 PM
President-elect Donald Trump announced on Wednesday that a deal has been reached for the release of 33 hostages in the Middle East. The agreement, which comes amid reports of a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas, will see the hostages released shortly, according to Trump's statement on Truth Social. The ceasefire deal, which has been in negotiation for months, is expected to end 15 months of fighting in Gaza. Sources indicate that the agreement includes the phased release of hostages and over 1,000 Palestinian prisoners, with the first group of hostages expected to be released as early as this weekend.
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Evenly split • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Majority support • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Majority oppose the deal • 25%
Majority support the deal • 25%
Public opinion is evenly split • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Majority support the deal • 25%
Evenly split opinion • 25%
Majority oppose the deal • 25%
Insufficient data • 25%
Negative reaction • 25%
Positive reaction • 25%
Mixed reaction • 25%
Indifferent reaction • 25%
Negative reaction • 25%
Positive reaction • 25%
Mixed reaction • 25%
No significant public reaction • 25%
Low approval • 25%
Widespread protests • 25%
High approval • 25%
Moderate approval • 25%
Full implementation • 25%
Partial implementation • 25%
Agreement abandoned • 25%
No implementation • 25%
Broad international support • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Predominantly negative reactions • 25%
Little to no reaction • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Neutral or no reaction • 25%
Mostly positive • 25%
Mostly negative • 25%
Partial agreement reached • 25%
Full agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Yahya Sinwar's body returned • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Hadar Goldin's body returned • 25%
Information on Avera Mengistu and Hisham al-Sayed received • 25%
Failure • 25%
Complete success • 25%
Indeterminate • 25%
Partial success • 25%