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How will Iran-Israel relations change by June 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved relations • 25%
Worsened relations • 25%
No change in relations • 25%
Formal mediation initiated • 25%
Statements from Iranian or Israeli government officials and international diplomatic reports
Story
Khamenei Calls Israel's Attack a "Malicious Act," Says Incident Should "Neither Be Exaggerated Nor Downplayed"
Oct 27, 2024, 08:46 AM
In response to Israel's recent attack on Iranian military installations, Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei stated that the incident should "neither be exaggerated nor downplayed," calling it a "malicious act by the Zionist regime." He refrained from an outright call for retaliation but emphasized that "the Zionist regime's miscalculations must be disrupted." Khamenei delegated the decision on how to demonstrate Iran's strength and respond to Israel to Iranian officials, highlighting the need to showcase the nation's resolve and ingenuity.
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Diplomatic relations improve • 25%
Diplomatic relations worsen • 25%
Diplomatic relations unchanged • 25%
Diplomatic ties severed • 25%
Escalated conflict • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
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Formal peace talks • 25%
Other • 25%
Relations worsen • 25%
Relations improve • 25%
Relations remain unchanged • 25%
New diplomatic initiatives launched • 25%
Sanctions Imposed on Israel • 25%
Official Condemnation of Israel • 25%
No Action Taken • 25%
Other • 25%
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Strained relations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Temporary diplomatic tensions • 25%
Peace agreement • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Escalation to war • 25%
Third-party intervention • 25%
Military action against Israel • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations with the US • 25%
Continued postponement without action • 25%
Other significant actions • 25%
Full-scale conflict • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Continued stalemate • 25%
No escalation occurs • 25%
Limited skirmishes • 25%
Full-scale military conflict • 25%
Diplomatic resolution • 25%
Direct negotiations • 25%
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No diplomatic efforts • 25%
Successful agreement • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Escalation of tensions • 25%
No negotiations held • 25%