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How many Syrian refugees will return to Syria from Turkey in February 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 50,000 • 25%
50,000 to 100,000 • 25%
100,001 to 150,000 • 25%
More than 150,000 • 25%
Official announcements from Turkish Interior Ministry or reputable news sources
Story
52,622 Syrian Refugees Return to Syria from Turkey Post-Assad, Ensuring Voluntary, Safe, Dignified Returns
Jan 9, 2025, 12:03 PM
Turkish Interior Minister Ali Yerlikaya announced that 52,622 Syrian refugees have returned to their country from Turkey in the past month following the fall of the Assad regime. This number marks an increase from the average monthly return of 11,000 in the first 11 months of 2024. Since 2017, a total of 792,625 Syrians have returned to their homeland. Yerlikaya made these remarks at the Cilvegözü Border Gate in Hatay, emphasizing that the returns are voluntary, safe, and dignified. Currently, Turkey hosts approximately 2.89 million Syrian refugees.
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Similar markets
Other outcome • 25%
Majority return • 25%
Minority return • 25%
No significant return • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Less than 200,000 • 25%
200,000 to 300,000 • 25%
300,001 to 400,000 • 25%
More than 400,000 • 25%
Less than 100,000 • 25%
100,000 to 200,000 • 25%
200,001 to 300,000 • 25%
More than 300,000 • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%