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Market
How many states will support Trump's birthright citizenship policy by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
0-10 States • 25%
11-20 States • 25%
21-30 States • 25%
31+ States • 25%
Legal briefs filed with the U.S. Supreme Court or federal courts
Story
Trump Plans to End Birthright Citizenship, Deport Mixed-Status Families
Dec 9, 2024, 07:15 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has announced plans to end birthright citizenship on his first day in office, according to a recent interview. This policy shift would challenge the interpretation of the 14th Amendment of the U.S. Constitution, which currently grants citizenship to anyone born on U.S. soil. Trump also indicated that he could deport families with mixed immigration statuses, signaling a potential change in immigration policy.
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6-10 states • 25%
More than 20 states • 25%
11-20 states • 25%
0-5 states • 25%
Upheld by Supreme Court • 25%
Congressional amendment • 25%
No change • 25%
Struck down by Supreme Court • 25%
Overturned by legislation • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Upheld by courts • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Implemented via new legislation • 25%
Implemented via executive order • 25%
No change to birthright citizenship • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Blocked by courts • 25%
Implemented • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Withdrawn by Trump • 25%
No change • 25%
Successfully ended • 25%
Other legal outcome • 25%
Partially restricted • 25%
Support ending birthright citizenship • 25%
Pass legislation on birthright citizenship • 25%
No clear majority stance • 25%
Oppose ending birthright citizenship • 25%
No official response • 25%
Majority support • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Majority oppose • 25%
Unsuccessfully challenged • 25%
No challenge made • 25%
Challenge in progress • 25%
Successfully challenged • 25%