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How many phases of Israel's proposal will be completed by the end of 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Only Phase 1 completed • 33%
Phase 1 and Phase 2 completed • 33%
All Phases completed • 33%
Verified reports from major news outlets such as Reuters, BBC, or official statements from the governments involved
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Biden Announces Israel's Three-Phase Ceasefire Proposal for Gaza, Including Six-Week Ceasefire and Hostage Release
May 31, 2024, 07:22 PM
US President Joe Biden has announced a new three-phase proposal from Israel aimed at achieving a lasting ceasefire in Gaza and the release of hostages held by Hamas. The proposal, which has been transmitted to Hamas through Qatar, includes an immediate six-week ceasefire and the withdrawal of Israeli forces from populated areas of Gaza in the first phase. During this period, negotiations will continue to reach a permanent end to hostilities, the release of all hostages, and a humanitarian aid and prisoners swap. If negotiations extend beyond six weeks, the ceasefire will remain in place as long as talks continue. The final phase involves the reconstruction of Gaza. Biden emphasized the historic opportunity this proposal represents and urged Hamas to accept it, stating that it is time for the war to end.
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Full implementation • 33%
Partial implementation • 33%
No implementation • 33%
Complete ceasefire observed • 33%
Partial ceasefire observed • 33%
No ceasefire observed • 34%
Completed by June 30 • 25%
Completed by September 30 • 25%
Completed by December 31 • 25%
Not completed by end of 2024 • 25%
Fully implemented • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Not implemented • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Significant progress made • 33%
Moderate progress made • 33%
No significant progress • 34%
Complete Success • 25%
Partial Success • 25%
Failure • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
New ceasefire agreement • 33%
Prisoner exchange deal • 33%
No significant agreement • 33%