Loading...
Market
What will be the implementation status of the Gaza ceasefire by the end of 2024?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Fully implemented • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Not implemented • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Reports from UN or other international peace-monitoring bodies
Story
Hamas Accepts Egypt-Qatar Ceasefire; Israel's Response Pending
May 6, 2024, 05:07 PM
Hamas has officially accepted a ceasefire proposal mediated by Egypt and Qatar, following intense negotiations. The agreement comes after Israel ordered the evacuation of Rafah, a town in southern Gaza, in anticipation of a military operation. Ismail Haniyeh, the head of Hamas's political bureau, communicated the group's acceptance in phone calls with Qatar's Prime Minister Mohammad bin Abdulrahman Al Thani and Egypt's intelligence chief Abbas Kamel. A delegation from Hamas is expected to arrive in Cairo soon to finalize the details of the ceasefire agreement. The timing of Hamas's announcement, as Israel begins evacuating civilians from Rafah, is seen as a strategic move to pressure Israel, which has yet to respond.
View original story
Similar markets
Ceasefire extended • 33%
Ceasefire ended • 33%
Ceasefire on hold • 33%
Full implementation • 33%
Partial implementation • 33%
No implementation • 33%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Ceasefire in place, hostages released • 33%
Ceasefire in place, hostages not released • 33%
No ceasefire • 33%
Ceasefire with negotiations ongoing • 25%
Complete ceasefire and hostages released • 25%
Conflict ongoing • 25%
Other outcome • 25%