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How long will the Israel-Hamas ceasefire last before any reported violation starting January 19, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 24 hours • 25%
24 to 48 hours • 25%
48 to 72 hours • 25%
More than 72 hours • 25%
Reports from international news agencies and official statements from involved parties
Story
Qatar Announces Israel-Hamas Ceasefire to Begin Sunday at 8:30 a.m. in Gaza
Jan 18, 2025, 08:14 AM
Qatar's Foreign Ministry spokesperson, Majed al-Ansari, announced that a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas in the Gaza Strip will commence on Sunday, January 19, at 8:30 a.m. local time (06:30 GMT). The agreement, brokered by Qatar, follows approval from Israel's cabinet and consensus among the involved parties and mediators. An exchange of Israeli and Palestinian detainees is expected to occur after the ceasefire begins. The ministry advised residents in Gaza to exercise caution and await guidance from official sources.
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More than 4 weeks • 25%
1 to 2 weeks • 25%
Less than 1 week • 25%
2 to 4 weeks • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
More than 3 months • 25%
2 to 3 months • 25%
1 to 2 months • 25%
Less than 1 month • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Less than 6 months • 25%
More than 2 years • 25%
1 to 2 years • 25%
6 months to 1 year • 25%
Ceasefire holds • 25%
Ceasefire broken • 25%
Ceasefire extended • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%