Loading...
Market
First diplomatic response to Shenghua Wen case by mid-2025?
3
Chinese•Shenghua Wen•California•North Korea•Department of Justice•Wen•Long Beach•Hong Kong•FBI•North Korean•Texas•South Korea
Resolution / Starting Odds
China • 25%
North Korea • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from governments or news reports
Story
Chinese Illegal Immigrant Shenghua Wen Charged with Smuggling Weapons to North Korea via Long Beach Port
Dec 3, 2024, 10:19 PM
Federal authorities have arrested 41-year-old Chinese national Shenghua Wen, who was living illegally in California, for allegedly exporting firearms, ammunition, and military technology to North Korea. According to the Department of Justice, Wen and his co-conspirators concealed weapons inside shipping containers labeled as refrigerators and camera accessories and shipped them from Long Beach, California, through Hong Kong, to North Korea. The shipments occurred at least twice last year. Wen allegedly told the FBI he was 'good at smuggling' and admitted to being directed by North Korean agents, who paid him millions of dollars to procure and ship the weapons. He also purchased a weapons dealership in Texas for $150,000 to facilitate his operations. Prosecutors stated that Wen was helping the North Korean regime prepare for a potential 'surprise attack' against South Korea, and that he was attempting to acquire military uniforms for this purpose. He was charged with felony conspiracy to violate the International Emergency Economic Powers Act.
View original story
Similar markets
Denial of allegations • 25%
Retaliatory measures against the UK • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
No official response • 25%
Formal Protest • 25%
Diplomatic Discussions • 25%
No Official Response • 25%
Other • 25%
Release of Yu Wensheng • 25%
Formal diplomatic rebuttal • 25%
No official response • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Denial of Involvement • 25%
Retaliatory Measures • 25%
Request for Diplomatic Talks • 25%
No Official Response • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Plea Bargain • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Yu Wensheng released early • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Formal diplomatic protest • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Convicted on all charges • 25%
Convicted on some charges • 25%
Acquitted on all charges • 25%
Mistrial declared • 25%
Route identified and closed • 25%
Partial route disruption • 25%
No significant findings • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Denial of Involvement • 25%
No Official Comment • 25%
Accusations of Bias • 25%
Other Response • 25%
