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Financial consequences for Assad regime by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased Sanctions • 25%
Asset Freezes • 25%
Currency Devaluation • 25%
No Significant Change • 25%
Reports from financial analysts or international economic reports
Story
Assad's Regime Sent $250 Million in Cash to Moscow in 21 Shipments to Sanctioned Banks
Dec 15, 2024, 06:13 PM
The Financial Times has uncovered records indicating that between 2018 and 2019, the Syrian regime, led by Bashar al-Assad, sent approximately $250 million in cash to Moscow. The funds, comprising $100 bills and €500 notes, were transported in 21 shipments to sanctioned Russian banks. This financial transfer occurred during a period when Assad's regime was facing a severe shortage of foreign currency, and the Syrian president was indebted to Russia for military support. The cash was flown into Moscow's Vnukovo airport, highlighting the regime's efforts to secure its financial assets amidst international sanctions. During this time, Assad's family also acquired luxury properties in Russia.
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Major disruption • 25%
Minor disruption • 25%
No disruption • 25%
Strengthening of networks • 25%
Assad remains in power • 25%
Assad steps down voluntarily • 25%
Assad is overthrown • 25%
Assad is exiled • 25%
Less than $10 billion • 25%
$10 to $12 billion • 25%
$12 to $15 billion • 25%
More than $15 billion • 25%
Still in power • 25%
Exiled • 25%
Overthrown • 25%
Resigned voluntarily • 25%
Assets seized by Russian government • 25%
Assets remain under Assad's control • 25%
Assets transferred to another entity • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
Assets seized and repurposed • 25%
Assets remain frozen • 25%
Assets returned to Assad • 25%
Other outcome • 25%