Loading...
Market
Fate of military equipment on Ursa Major by June 30, 2025?
2
Russian•Ursa Major•Mediterranean Sea•Spain•Algeria•Syria•Russia•Liebherr•Vladivostok•Spanish•Oboronlogistics•Tartus
Resolution / Starting Odds
Recovered intact • 25%
Recovered damaged • 25%
Lost at sea • 25%
Unknown/Other • 25%
Official recovery reports or news articles
Story
Russian Cargo Ship Ursa Major Carrying Military Equipment Sinks Near Spain; 2 Crew Missing
Dec 24, 2024, 07:18 AM
Russian cargo ship Ursa Major sank in the Mediterranean Sea between Spain and Algeria after an explosion in the engine room on December 24, 2024. The ship was reportedly used to transport weapons and equipment from Syria as part of Russia's evacuation of military assets from the region. The cargo included two 45-ton hatches for a nuclear reactor of an icebreaker and two Liebherr port cranes destined for Vladivostok. Fourteen out of sixteen crew members were rescued by Spanish authorities, while two remain missing. The ship, owned by Oboronlogistics and sanctioned by the U.S. in May 2022, was previously seen at the Tartus naval base in Syria.
View original story
Similar markets
Recovered and returned to Russia • 25%
Lost at sea • 25%
Recovered by another country • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
Returned to Ukraine • 25%
Kept by Russia • 25%
Destroyed • 25%
Other • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Diplomatic efforts to retrieve or compensate • 25%
Military action to retrieve equipment • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Recovered and Delivered • 25%
Recovered and Scrapped • 25%
Lost Forever • 25%
Other • 25%
Rebuilt with foreign assistance • 25%
Rebuilt independently • 25%
Remain largely non-operational • 25%
Replaced with new systems • 25%
Used in combat • 25%
Destroyed • 25%
Recaptured by government • 25%
Other • 25%
Anti-drone guns • 25%
Advanced firearms • 25%
Tactical ballistic missiles • 25%
Other • 25%
CV90 • 25%
Marder • 25%
M-2 • 25%
Stryker • 25%
Used in Russian military operations • 25%
Displayed in a Russian museum • 25%
Scrapped for parts • 25%
Other • 25%
Combat operations • 25%
Training purposes • 25%
Sold to other factions • 25%
Other • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Partial withdrawal • 25%
No withdrawal • 25%
Increased deployment • 25%