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Economic sanctions resulting from Sabina Shoal dispute by end of 2025
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Sanctions by Philippines • 25%
Sanctions by China • 25%
Sanctions by other countries against China • 25%
No sanctions imposed • 25%
Official economic reports or government sanctions lists from involved countries
Story
Philippine Coast Guard Blocks China's Reclamation at Sabina Shoal
May 13, 2024, 09:06 AM
The Philippine Coast Guard is actively blocking China's attempts to conduct reclamation activities at Sabina Shoal in the South China Sea, a region marked by territorial disputes. According to the Coast Guard's spokesperson, Jay Tarriela, this move is part of a broader effort to prevent China from establishing a presence that could lead to the construction of military bases on artificial islands, thereby asserting control over the area. The Philippines' commitment to maintaining a presence in these disputed waters is aimed at deterring further land reclamation by China.
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Controlled by China • 25%
Controlled by Philippines • 25%
Joint management agreement • 25%
Dispute remains unresolved • 25%
Condemnation • 33%
Neutral • 33%
Support • 33%
Imposition of new sanctions • 33%
Increase in existing sanctions • 33%
No new sanctions • 34%
Support for Philippines • 33%
Support for China • 33%
Neutral stance • 34%
USA imposes sanctions • 20%
EU imposes sanctions • 20%
Both USA and EU impose sanctions • 20%
Other major economies impose sanctions • 20%
No sanctions imposed • 20%
Resolution favoring China • 33%
Resolution favoring Philippines • 33%
Continued dispute without clear resolution • 34%
Significant negative impact • 33%
Moderate impact • 33%
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Support from USA • 25%
Support from Japan • 25%
Support from Australia • 25%
No significant international support • 25%
USA • 25%
Australia • 25%
Japan • 25%
India • 25%
Controlled by China • 25%
Controlled by the Philippines • 25%
Jointly managed • 25%
Undetermined • 25%