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Market
ASEAN reaction to Sabina Shoal situation by end of 2024
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Support for Philippines • 33%
Support for China • 33%
Neutral stance • 34%
Official statements or resolutions from ASEAN summits or meetings
Story
Philippine Coast Guard Blocks China's Reclamation Efforts at Sabina Shoal
May 13, 2024, 06:00 AM
The Philippine Coast Guard has intensified its presence at Sabina Shoal in the South China Sea to prevent China from conducting reclamation activities. Commodore Jay Tarriela, a spokesperson for the Coast Guard, indicated that there had been 'small-scale reclamation' at the shoal, which Manila refers to as Escoda, and identified China as 'the most probable actor' behind these activities. The Coast Guard is committed to ensuring that China does not succeed in any reclamation efforts in this disputed region.
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Condemnation • 33%
Neutral • 33%
Support • 33%
Supports Philippines • 25%
Supports China • 25%
Neutral or no definitive stance • 25%
Calls for international mediation • 25%
Increased support for Philippines • 25%
Neutral stance maintained • 25%
Support for China • 25%
No change in current positions • 25%
Condemnation • 33%
Support for China • 33%
No official reaction • 34%
Support for Philippines • 25%
Neutral or no response • 25%
Support for China • 25%
Divided responses among international actors • 25%
Support for China • 25%
Support for Philippines • 25%
Neutral or no clear support • 25%
Escalation involving other nations • 25%
Supportive • 33%
Neutral • 34%
Opposing • 33%
Strong condemnation and action • 33%
Moderate or diplomatic engagement • 33%
Minimal or no official response • 34%
Supportive of Taiwan • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Supportive of China • 25%
Varied responses • 25%
Sanctions on China • 33%
Sanctions on Philippines • 33%
No Sanctions • 34%
Sanctions by Philippines • 25%
Sanctions by China • 25%
Sanctions by other countries against China • 25%
No sanctions imposed • 25%
Sanctions against China • 25%
Sanctions against Philippines • 25%
Diplomatic mediation • 25%
No significant action • 25%