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Diplomatic meeting between North and South Korea due to defection by end of 2024?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Official announcements from South Korean or North Korean government, or news reports
Story
North Korean Resident Defects to South Korea Across Yellow Sea and Western Sea Border
Aug 8, 2024, 08:09 AM
A North Korean resident has defected to South Korea by crossing the maritime border in the Yellow Sea, according to reports from the Yonhap news agency. The defection was confirmed by South Korean military sources, who noted that the individual traversed the 'neutral waters' and the western sea border between the two Koreas. This incident highlights ongoing tensions and the continued risk of defections across the heavily monitored border.
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Improved relations • 25%
Status quo • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Formal peace talks • 25%
De-escalation agreement • 25%
Continued tensions • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Increase military presence at the border • 25%
Issue a formal protest to South Korea • 25%
Make a public statement condemning defections • 25%
Other • 25%
