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Diplomatic Incident Between US and Iran Over Drone Tech Case by End of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from credible news sources such as Reuters, BBC, or The New York Times
Story
US-Iranian Engineer Pleads Not Guilty to Illegally Procuring Drone Tech for Iran After January Attack Kills Three US Troops
Dec 29, 2024, 07:21 AM
A former engineer at a Boston-based semiconductor manufacturer, identified as a dual US-Iranian citizen, has pleaded not guilty to charges in the US of illegally procuring technology for an Iranian firm. The technology was allegedly used to produce a key component of a drone involved in a January attack that killed three US service members in Jordan. The engineer was arrested earlier this month, and the case has drawn attention due to its implications for national security and international relations.
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Other outcome • 25%
New indictments issued • 25%
No further action taken • 25%
Iranian government implicated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No significant developments • 25%
Escalation of military tensions • 25%
Diplomatic resolution between Israel and Iran • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Convicted • 25%
Mistrial • 25%
Plea Deal • 25%
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Diplomatic resolution • 25%
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Stalemate with no resolution • 25%
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No significant change • 25%
Improvement • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
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China • 25%
Russia • 25%
European Union • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
Case closed without action • 25%
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Diplomatic resolution • 25%