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Country responsible for next drone attack near Luga Bay by April 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ukraine • 25%
Another country • 25%
Unattributed • 25%
No further attacks • 25%
Official statements from Russian government or military
Story
St. Petersburg's Pulkovo Airport Halts Flights Again Due to Ukrainian Drone Attack Near Luga Bay
Jan 4, 2025, 07:34 AM
Russia's Pulkovo Airport in St. Petersburg temporarily halted flight arrivals and departures starting at 7:45 a.m. local time on Saturday to ensure the safety of civilian aircraft, according to Russia's aviation watchdog Rosaviatsia. This was the second closure of the airport since the night, prompted by an attack by Ukrainian drones. Russian forces reported downing two drones near Luga Bay in the Gulf of Finland, which triggered the shutdown. The restrictions were lifted by 10:15 a.m. Moscow time, as confirmed by Rosaviatsia.
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Unknown • 25%
Non-state actors • 25%
Another neighboring country • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Other • 25%
Russia • 25%
Belarus • 25%
Crimea • 25%
St. Petersburg • 25%
Another location in Chechnya • 25%
Other • 25%
Moscow • 25%
No country accused • 25%
Other • 25%
China • 25%
Russia • 25%
Third-party actor • 25%
Ukrainian militia group • 25%
Ukrainian government • 25%
No claims of responsibility • 25%
Oil infrastructure • 25%
Military base • 25%
Civilian area • 25%
Other • 25%
Government building in Moscow • 25%
Military base in Chechnya • 25%
Oil refinery in Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
Syria • 25%
None by deadline • 25%
United States • 25%
Turkey • 25%
Iran • 25%
Other • 25%
U.S. • 25%
Jordan • 25%
Other • 25%
Saint Petersburg • 25%
Moscow • 25%
Kazan • 25%
Hezbollah • 25%
Other • 25%
Houthi rebels • 25%
Iraqi Islamic Resistance • 25%