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China's policy changes in South China Sea by end of 2024
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military presence • 33%
Reduced aggressive actions • 33%
No significant change • 34%
Official announcements from the Chinese government or state-run media
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Philippine Sailor Severely Injured After Chinese Coast Guard Rams Vessel Near Second Thomas Shoal
Jun 18, 2024, 09:42 AM
A Philippine navy sailor was severely injured after the Chinese coast guard intentionally rammed a Philippine vessel during a resupply mission in the South China Sea. The incident occurred near Ayungin Shoal, also known as Second Thomas Shoal, on Monday, June 17. The Armed Forces of the Philippines condemned the China Coast Guard's aggressive behavior, citing it as the third such incident involving injuries to Philippine personnel. The use of water cannons, ramming, and blocking by Chinese forces were highlighted as dangerous and deliberate actions. The military released a statement on Tuesday.
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Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Construction of new structures • 25%
Increased military patrols • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Other • 25%
Philippines • 25%
China • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
China backs down • 25%
Philippines backs down • 25%
Mutual agreement reached • 25%
Conflict escalates • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
International arbitration • 25%
Military confrontation • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Resolution through negotiations • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
Military presence • 25%
Trade routes • 25%
Environmental concerns • 25%
Spying devices • 25%